Earning money from sports betting can be a challenge, but there are players who win regularly. There are even professionals who earn decent money from this activity. On this page you will find various sports betting like hockey, tennis and others strategies and useful tips to help you become a better player. Especially beginners and intermediate players will appreciate the advice below, but also more experienced players will find something for themselves here
What is the Betting System (Strategy)?
When it comes to PariMatch sports betting, of course, everyone wants to win, but the truth is that betting is primarily entertainment that most people should not put too much expectation on (at least in the beginning). While most of us place bets solely on our own judgment and intuition, the best players go to the trouble of analyzing them and also employ certain systems or strategies for betting.
Efficient betting systems can be a useful tool for anyone who would like to organize their hobby. Their main goal is to increase the chances of making a profit in the long run.
PariMatch Sports Betting Strategy Guide – LEARN ABOUT ALL TYPES
Of course, the most popular system is progression. Even less familiar players will associate this term and have various memories of it. Some have caught it handsomely, others quite the opposite. Usually it is used for draw bets. Namely, we choose a specific team and predict its draws. Typically, betting systems are based on mathematics and require the use of simple formulas. It is best to analyze all the schemes and choose the most appropriate one, what is best done in Excel, where we can prepare a schedule and analyze what system suits us on specific examples. If we like risk, we should focus on systems related to progression, eg the d’Alembert System. For patient players, on the other hand, the percentage staking strategy will be appropriate.
PariMatch Bookmaker systems + types
The so-called “Sunday players” usually do not use betting systems. We are talking here about a hobby betting on meetings for low amounts, which does not affect, for example, the home budget. Nevertheless, more experienced players use appropriate systems, which in turn are to help in recording a permanent profit.
At first glance, some of them theoretically seem difficult to understand. However, once we get to know them, most of them seem quite banal. Below we present the most important of them:
- Flat rate
- Martingale system
- Fibonacci system
- Kelly system
- D’Alembert’s system
- Paroli system
- Modulated system
- Lucky 15 system
- Greenwood system
- Percentage staking
- The Oscar Grind system
- Indian middles
- Labouchere’s system
The simplest betting system – progression
When speaking of betting systems, we think first of all, progression. What exactly is it about? The system is based on a very simple assumption – we gradually increase the stake until we achieve the desired win. On the one hand, progression seems to be an ideal solution, because every bad streak must end one day. On the other hand, this system requires us to have a large budget and, perhaps more importantly, a huge amount of patience.
The most common variant of progression is the betting system which consists in choosing one team and betting on its draws. The system is based on the assumption that even the best teams win one spot even several times a season. Apart from a certain win over time, let’s consider the profitability of such an investment.
For example, let’s take a situation in which we are going to play by progression to draws of a certain team. Our entry rate will be ₹ 50, and the average rate will be 3.0. If we won on the first level, our net profit would be ₹ 1700, and our investment would only be ₹ 50. However, if the situation were reversed and the first bet was a loser, we would have to bet ₹ 1700 on the second level, and our net profit would be ₹ 150. Given the losing streak, going further in our progression, in order not to lose the money wagered at the earlier levels, we would have to keep betting with higher stakes. For example, at level 4, our total amount of money invested would be ₹ 500, while the possible net profit would be only ₹ 1700.
Examples of betting systems – flat rate
Another quite widespread betting system is playing the so-called flat stake. What exactly is this form of betting about? The flat staking system is based on always placing the same, specific amount of money, depending on our current budget. This solution is to minimize the chance of our bankruptcy because our rate depends on our amount of money in the account.
For example, we have ₹ 500 for our game. We set our flat stake at 5 percent of our budget, which means that each bet will be played for ₹ 25. If we have a worse streak, at the level of e.g. ₹ 300, we recalculate our flat rate, which at this point will amount to ₹ 15. Conversely, in the case of achieving a profit and increasing the budget to the amount of ₹ 700, our rate also increases and will amount to ₹ 35. As in the described example, we propose a change in the rate every 3400 ₹ of the budget, but it is a contractual issue, depending on the initial amount of money.
The unconscious system – Martingale
Almost every successful player has a strategy or game system. Some sports bettors often do it even subconsciously, unaware that they are using this system. The Martingale betting system has been around since at least the 18th century when John Henry Martindale, owner of a London casino, used this strategy in games of chance.
Let us, however, abandon the historical outline and move on to the theory. This system doubles up in the case of losing bets until we are victorious. In practice, if we bet ₹ 100 and win such a bet, we put our stake aside and put it aside as a profit. If, on the other hand, you lose such a bet, we double the stake to ₹ 3400 until you theoretically recover all your losses.
This is a system similar to progression , but here we are not just considering draws. First of all, we assume that after 3 or 4 bets, the card will eventually turn over and we will recover the drowned amount at the previous bets.
The Fibonacci system – math makes sense
Each of us had to deal with Fibonacci at school when the teacher hammered his system into our heads in math lessons. What was supposed to be of no use to us in everyday life, however, is of use, among others, in bookmaking. The system of Italian mathematics has a very wide range of applications.
The Fibonacci Sequence can be used as a betting system in both casino games and sports betting. However, players are skeptical about it and we can consider it a curiosity. Nevertheless, we will try to explain what exactly it is based on peasant reason. The sequence named after an Italian mathematician contains a progressive sequence of numbers. Starting with 0 and 1, each number in the sequence is the sum of the two immediately preceding numbers.
Like other systems, this strategy requires keeping the unit size constant. Additionally, we are forced to increase the amount of the stake every time we lose. This allows you to recoup your losses by placing another bet with an increased amount. Every time a ticket is lost, you must move one number up the Fibonacci sequence. If you win, we move two unit numbers down the sequence. Of course, the number of units should be multiplied by the fixed rate.
Remember that the Fibonacci sequence progresses from 1 as follows:
1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, etc. The remaining numbers in the sequence are the sum of the previous two.
So is it worth using such a betting process? Theoretically, it is very easy and guarantees a profit, e.g. when betting on a draw, but you need to have an unlimited balance and place the right odds, so this system will work perfectly when playing black / red in roulette. Then we have an approximate 47% chance of winning.
Kelly’s system – count from the formula
The Kelly criterion was developed in 1956 by the American scientist John L. Kelly, who worked as a researcher in New Jersey. Kelly originally developed a formula to help the company deal with long-distance telephone signal interference problems. At that time, he probably did not realize that his system would be used for sports betting.
In the course of the analysis, it turned out that this is an effective way to maximize profit combined with a successful picking strategy. This strategy requires a certain mathematical formula that will allow us to assess the risk of a given type:
(AP-Q) / A
And this is our course for a given event. For decimal odds, we need to subtract 1.
P is the probability of winning the bet.
L is the loss probability, which is 1 – L.
At first glance, this looks very dangerous for people who are not comfortable with math, but we are already explaining using the 2.50 course example.
For example, if, according to our calculations, a given event has the odds of 2.40, but the bookmaker’s price was ultimately 2.50, then using the formula:
((1.50 x 0.416) -0.584) / 1.50 = 2.67%
This means that we should put 2.67% of our betting budget on such a result.
At first glance, we can see that such a system makes sense with the so-called valuebets, i.e. high-odds types that have an inflated rate in relation to our risk assessment.
D’Alembert’s system – do not fall into a spiral
The D’Alembert system is one of the simpler betting systems. In fact, it has a lot to do with the Martingale system, as they both have the characteristics of progression – negative progression in this case. In short, it involves increasing the size of the stakes after a losing bet and reducing them after a winning bet. It is commonly used with equal stakes.
This strategy can be broken down into four principles
- Choosing a basic unit – preferably one that does not exceed 5%. Eg 2% of your gaming budget.
- Play your first bet on said unit.
- Increase your stake after losing – For each losing bet, your stake must increase by one basic unit of stake. For example, if you started with ₹ 10, if you lose, you will increase the stake to ₹ 340. If you then lose again, you will increase your stake to $ 30.
- Reduce Stakes After Win – After each winning bet, the stake for the next bet should be reduced by one base unit of stake.
At first glance, the above system is quite simple. But does it work in practice? There is no doubt that the D’Alembert strategy can help you win money in the short term. You can earn even if you lose more bets than you win. However, in order to be positive, a proper sequence of results is needed, and this, of course, varies. We can easily get stuck in a spiral of failures, which are then difficult to make up.
1-3-2-6, i.e. multiplication of rates
Another system based on progression. This is a fairly simple diagram to the concept that we can use to bet on casino games or sports betting.
This time we will discuss this system using the example of roulette and the bet on red or black. Let’s choose the initial rate of ₹ 10. If your first bet is successful, you will accumulate a total of ₹ 340. The next step is to place another bet of the size of a unit times 3 (hence the name of the system three of a kind). Therefore, we will bet ₹ 30. It works similarly with two and six.
1 bet – ₹ 170 profit
2nd bet – ₹ 500 profit
3rd bet – ₹ 340 profit
4 bet – ₹ 1000 profit
In conclusion – if your unit is ₹ 10 and you follow this system, then with four wins, you will get purely ₹ 120.
As with other Sports betting systems, there is a risk that we may lose a lot. For example, in the case of failure during the second and fourth steps, we will lose the most, which will not be completely compensated by other steps.
Paroli system – doubling the rate
Once again, the system we have described works best for betting on roulette, although it can of course also be used for sports betting.
In its simplest form, this system involves doubling your bet after each win, until you have three consecutive wins. This tactic has been used with some success since the 16th century – specifically in the Italian card game known as Basset.
As mentioned, the goal of this system is to get three consecutive wins in a row, with each win we put our stake. We will explain this using the example of roulette. If we bet on black and lose, then we bet our unit again. In this way, the player will continue to “constantly bet”, never changing the amount of the bet until it is won. When it comes, it bets on two units, and if it loses, it returns to the first point and back to the starting unit.
This strategy is based on the assumption that wins and losses occur in series. A player can maximize profits by betting more on a winning streak and less on a losing streak.
Modulated system – recommended by professional tipsters
A system that is recommended by many professional tipsters. It cannot be denied that modulated staking can bring very good results in the form of earnings. What exactly is it about?
A player with a defined budget initially determines the maximum amount he would like to spend on betting. Then he divides it by 10 and thus gets the value of one unit. For each bet, the tipster can bet from 1 to 10 units, and his decision depends on the estimated probability of the success of a given event. Bets with a high chance of success should be placed with stakes from 7-10 units, and the most risky ones from 1-3 units.
As if in everyday play, a large number of players use such a system. Each of us, to some extent, selects the rate to the appropriate rate and risk.
Lucky 15 system – tailored to racing
As the name suggests – the system is based on 15 bets of equal value on selections in four separate types of bets : four singles, six doubles, four trebles and one AKO bet consisting of four events. In Lucky 15, only one selection needs to be settled correctly for the player to be eligible for a refund. This is the system most used by players in horse racing.
In simple terms, it looks like this:
|BET||SELECTION||NUMBER OF BETS|
|SINGLE||1, 2, 3, 4||4|
|SHOTGUN||1 + 2, 1 + 3, 1 + 4, 2 + 3, 2 + 4, 3 + 4||6|
|TREBEL||1 + 2 + 4, 1 + 3 + 4, 2 + 3 + 4||4|
|AKO WITH 4 EVENTS||1 + 2 + 3 + 4||1|
The main disadvantage of the Lucky 15 system is that all 15 bets are made at the same stake. This means that you are unable to adjust your bid to which of your choices is most appropriate for you.
An alternative is to add all bets to the coupon separately. This would allow the player to bet more money on the singles and AKOs that seem most likely to him.
The great advantage of this system is the fact that even if two events turn out to be wrong, we can earn a lot from this system by choosing the right rates.
Greenwood system – ideal for large capital
One of the most risky progressive sports betting systems. It is, in a way, a mixture of progression and constant profit. In short: you bet so much that if you win, you will cover the loss from your previous bets. At first glance, it leads us to think that we are risking a lot and the consequences may be deplorable.
Let’s get to the point, that is, discuss what this strategy of the game looks like at the bookmaker. At the beginning, we define the win that we expect – let’s give it ₹ 100. This stake, of course, depends on your contribution and your overall gaming budget. The bet amount is based on the expected win and the odds per bet.
The pattern looks like this:
- (W / ((Q-1) x10)) x10
- Where W is our assumed winnings and K is the odds.
It’s best to test it with an example. If we expect a win of ₹ 100, and the rate is 1.8, the deposit amount for a given bet should be ₹ 125. If the bet fails, we will lose ₹ 125. For the second bet, you should predict a profit of ₹ 225 (100 + 125). In this case, we also increase the rate to, for example, 2.0. Then we have a bit more to win than we assumed – namely ₹ 10 more. We use the above-mentioned formula for the next steps in the system.
The player must have large capital and show great mental toughness in case of many failures.
Percentage – strength in patience
A very similar system to a flat stake. However, there are some differences that outweigh both sides.
The percentage rate plan says that you should recalculate your stake every time your bankroll rises (if you win) or goes down (if you fail). In a sense, the formula for percentage rates is very simple. Considering that our capital for the game is ₹ 33 000, and we set the stake at 5%, we place the first bet for ₹ 1700.
What are the next steps if the bet loses or wins? We assume the rate of 2.00. Of course, we do not take into account the tax that we have to pay out of our own pocket with legal bookmakers .
- Win – then our bankroll will be increased by ₹ 1700, i.e. up to ₹ 35 000. In this case, we recalculate 5% of the new stake and then place the next bet for ₹ 1700.
- Losing – our budget is reduced by ₹ 1700, i.e. to ₹30 000. In this case, we recalculate 5% of the new stake and then place the next bet for ₹ 1600.
Taking into account the next bets, we multiply our bankroll by the initial stake set at the beginning and, depending on the win or loss, we increase or decrease the bet amount accordingly.
We can quickly notice that this system is suited for patient players who do not expect a quick profit. We need time and patience for appropriate gratifications. The huge advantage, however, is the fact that with the percentage rate we are not exposed to a sudden loss of our budget and we can have it depending on the lost bets. If we have a sequence of several missed coupons, then our rate decreases proportionally, and we have a chance to get back and come back to, for example, the initial amount.
Oscar Grind system – profit in the long run
According to experts’ calculations, only events with an exchange rate of 2.0 or higher are appropriate to be successful in this strategy. So we will again consider a system in terms of casino games that is ideally suited for this. At the beginning, the player should define the stake unit and the bankroll value, which is crucial in the process of playing with this system.
The essence of the Oscar Grind system is to make a profit at the end of each betting cycle (e.g. 10 steps), the duration of which is determined by bettors at their discretion. The game process itself is quite trivial. In the event of a loss, the amount of the next bet remains the same, and in the event of a win, it increases by one unit.
For example, our rate is ₹ 340, and our initial budget is ₹ 3400. At 2.0 rate, our account will look like this:
So after ten bets, we have a profit of ₹ 2000. After this cycle, we can return to the initial stake (₹ 340) or set a new one, of course taking into account the profit from 10 bets. We can also change the length of the cycle.
Undoubtedly, Oscar’s strategy may bring profit in the long run. However, it cannot be called an ideal strategy as it carries the risk of losing money with 2-3 losing bets, although that can be said for any system. We will need a careful analysis of each event to be positive.
PariMatch Indian middles
A Indian game system that is not very popular in the world. We can consider the huge risk as the reason and we can attribute it more to gambling than to bookmaking , which we have a chance to analyze somehow.
With the right strategy, however, it can bring big profit in the long run. This betting strategy consists of two bets on different goal lines (e.g. handicap ) to make a profit if the goal line or total goes outside the range. The standard “middle” system has a limited risk, because we assume that at least one bet will be settled correctly, so with the Indian version we can lose twice, which is associated with a huge risk.
Let’s move on to the example that best illustrates what exactly this system is all about. First of all, we must point out that it fits perfectly to specific events. The sum of the reciprocals of the odds should be less than 1.00.
Bet 1: Team A -5.5 handicap at 2.45 in bookmaker X
Bet 2: Team B +4.5 handicap at 2.45 in bookmaker Y
We take into account equal stakes on both bets at two different bookmakers. Our system will pay off as long as team A does not win by exactly 5 points, “A” must therefore win by 6 points or more. On the other hand, “B” on a victory of 4 points or less also gives us a profit.
The potential profit is therefore 22.5%, which we calculate using the formula:
(Rate of both events – number of events) / number of events
It looks worse with a loss, because our contribution is wet in 100% in the event of unfavorable results.
As you can see, this is a fairly hardcore system in which we take a very risk. In the long run, it can bring large losses, and the search for such events is very difficult and time-consuming. This is one of the reasons why Middle and Indian Middle systems are difficult for the average player, but they certainly have some supporters.
The Labouchere system is based on diminishing progression. It was created in reference to the game of roulette . What exactly is it about? At the beginning, the player himself should choose the amount he wants to win, and at the same time he can use the bonus codes at a legal bookmaker. The fixed amount should be written as a sum of positive integers, and then these numbers should be arranged in any sequence. For the first bet, he should be interested in an amount which is the sum of the first and last number on the list.
In the event of a winning bet, the player deletes two numbers from the list. However, if the bet is lost, you must add the lost amount to the end of your sequence. This process continues until the player no longer has the budget to place another bet.
Let’s look at an example. Let’s assume that the player wanted to win ₹ 3400. This amount can be broken down as follows:
10 + 10 + 30 + 40 + 50 + 60
We arrange all the components of this operation in the form of a sequence, but as we mentioned – the order plays a role here. Let’s assume that the sequence will be as follows: 10, 10, 30, 40, 50, 60. According to the rules of the Labouchere system, the first bet a player makes is the sum of the first and last number of the sequence, i.e. 10 and 60, which gives us 70. This means that we will place this bet for ₹ 70.
The Labouchere system works best with decimal odds of approx. 2.0, which can often be found, for example, in handicap bets . Therefore, in order to use this system with appropriate types , the player should have a lot of knowledge about individual events or use a thorough analysis of the match.
Do the systems work in the PariMatch bookmaker?
It all depends on our betting skills. If our hit percentage is high, a good betting system will go a long way to maximizing our profits. Conversely, when our picks mostly miss, even the best system won’t suddenly make us win. Overall, the Popular Sports Betting Systems work, but they are only a tool to support the player, not a pure way to win.